Ashfaq baig 
The political weather between India and Bangladesh is starting to change. For a long time, the relationship between New Delhi and the Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) was very cold. However, a “new phase” began on December 31, 2025. India’s Foreign Minister, S. Jaishankar, traveled to Dhaka for the funeral of former Prime Minister Khaleda Zia. During this visit, he met with her son and successor, Tarique Rahman. India
This meeting is a big deal because it shows that India is ready to talk to the BNP again. With national elections coming on February 12, 2026, both sides are looking for a fresh start.
A Somber Occasion Leads to a Reset
The death of Khaleda Zia on December 30, 2025, brought regional leaders together. S. Jaishankar represented the Indian government at her state funeral. He handed a personal letter from Prime Minister Narendra Modi to Tarique Rahman. In the letter, Modi called Khaleda Zia a leader of “rare resolve.”
This kind language is a major shift from the past. For decades, India and the BNP did not trust each other. Now, it seems India wants to build a bridge before the upcoming vote.
Moving Past Years of Mistrust
Historically, India felt more comfortable with the Awami League party. They viewed the BNP with suspicion for a very long time. India worried that the BNP was too close to extremist groups. On the other hand, the BNP often felt that India interfered in their internal politics.
However, the political landscape in Bangladesh changed after the ouster of Sheikh Hasina in 2024. Now, the BNP is a front-runner to win the next election. India knows it must work with whoever the Bangladeshi people choose to lead them.
The Return of Tarique Rahman
Tarique Rahman has recently returned to Bangladesh after 17 years in exile. His return has energized millions of BNP supporters. As the acting chairman, he is now the most powerful figure in the party. India’s decision to engage with him directly is a “pragmatic” move.
It shows that New Delhi recognizes him as a key political player. By meeting with Rahman, Jaishankar is signaling that India is ready to deal with a potential “President Rahman.” This helps reduce the tension that has existed for nearly two decades.
Why India is Changing Its Mind
Several factors are pushing India toward this “thaw.” First, India wants a stable neighbor. Chaos in Bangladesh often spills over into India’s northeastern states. Second, India wants to protect its economic investments in the region. Bangladesh is a major trade partner for India.
Third, India is worried about the influence of other powers like China and Pakistan. By building a better relationship with the BNP, India hopes to keep its influence strong. It is a calculated move to ensure regional security.
Addressing Security Concerns
Security is always the top priority for India. In the past, India accused BNP governments of harboring insurgents. Now, the BNP is trying to ease those fears. They have promised to create special cells to protect religious minorities, including Hindus.
This is very important for India, as it has voiced concerns about communal violence. If the BNP can prove they will keep the border safe, the relationship will grow. India is watching to see if these promises turn into real actions after the February elections.
The Role of the Interim Government
Right now, Bangladesh is led by an interim government. Nobel laureate Muhammad Yunus is the Chief Adviser. He has been tasked with preparing the country for free and fair elections. India has worked closely with Yunus, but they are also looking toward the future.
The elections on February 12 will decide the long-term path for the country. India’s outreach to the BNP is a way to ensure they are prepared for any outcome. They want to be friends with the winner, regardless of which party it is.
Public Sentiment and “India Out” Campaigns
In recent years, an “India Out” movement grew in Bangladesh. Many people were angry at India for supporting the previous regime. This sentiment made it difficult for Indian diplomats to work in Dhaka. By reaching out to the BNP, India is trying to show the public that it supports democracy.
They want to prove that they care about the “people of Bangladesh,” not just one party. This shift could help lower the anti-India feelings among the voters. It is a strategy to win back the “hearts and minds” of the people.
Economic Ties and Trade
Trade between the two countries is worth billions of dollars. Both nations rely on each other for energy, food, and medical services. However, the recent political turmoil has hurt the economy. Negotiations for a major trade deal, the CEPA, were put on hold.
India hopes that a stable relationship with the BNP will help restart these talks. If the two countries can work together on business, everyone wins. A healthy economy is the best way to ensure long-term peace and cooperation.
A Test of Diplomatic Maturity
Many experts call this a test of “strategic maturity” for India. For a long time, India was seen as picking sides in Bangladesh. Now, they are trying to act as a neutral and helpful neighbor. This is a difficult balance to maintain. They must respect Bangladesh’s sovereignty while also protecting their own interests. India
The meeting between Jaishankar and Rahman is a sign that India is growing up diplomatically. They are moving from “personality-centric” politics to “state-to-state” engagement. India
What to Expect on Election Day India
As February 12 approaches, the world will be watching Bangladesh. The elections will be the first since the 2024 uprising. If the vote is peaceful and fair, it will be a huge win for the region. The BNP is expected to perform very well. If they take power, the “thaw” with India will be put to the ultimate test. India
Both sides will need to work hard to maintain the new trust. For now, the handshake in Dhaka is a hopeful sign for the future of South Asia. India’s outreach to the BNP is a historic turn in regional politics. By moving past old grudges, New Delhi is choosing a path of realism and peace. India
The meeting at Khaleda Zia’s funeral was a powerful symbol of this change. As the 2026 elections draw near, both nations have a chance to build a better partnership. This “new phase” could lead to a safer and more prosperous future for everyone. We must hope that the spirit of cooperation continues long after the final votes are counted.
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